Creeping Shadow
Friday, April 25th, 2008Posted by Fred Jandt
Editor, Mass Transit
This last Tuesday was Earth Day. The MT staff did our part and all worked from home on Earth Day. I know it’s a small effort, but if everyone just turned off their cars for one day, think of the effect that would have.
In that vein, gas prices rose again like a creeping shadow following along behind you. We all know that gas prices are predicted to hit $4 a gallon this summer (well, that is everyone but the president, who seems curiously oblivious to it). Unfortunately summer may just come a lot sooner than we expected. Gas prices are already topping more than $4 a gallon in California with some nearing or topping $4.50. The national average is hovering around $3.50, but that’s little comfort.
I was talking to a coworker yesterday who said that he had heard gas prices could hit $7 a gallon by 2010. Doubling in a year in a half? I once would have said that’s not likely or even impossible, but with the recent dramatic rise in gas prices over the last few years, I no longer rule anything out.
So what is there to do about it? Well, the obvious choice is to take transit. It’s simple math: transit = less car use = less $$$ spent on gas.
Of course, for a large part of the United States this isn’t an option. Transit just isn’t an option for some people. So what do they do? Telecommuting has become popular. And it is going to become even more popular.
Spend some time perusing the tech news. Google is offering a host of services for businesses to allow you to access all of your files anywhere. It has its own suite of office programs, and now you can access them offline as well as online. Adobe is putting up a streamlined version of Photoshop online. The next generation of software looks to all be Web-based.
With this trend you’d think people would travel more. They can stay connected anywhere. Unfortunately, people are using this to stay at home. And it’s that creeping shadow that is to blame. As gas prices grow we become more and more isolated as a culture. As gas prices grow, the price of everything else grows as well. If you haven’t noticed, the price of food is creeping up. Just a little here and there, but it’s going up.
As everything gets more expensive, transit becomes more and more appealing. A couple years ago when gas prices shot up, transit ridership soared. This year with that creeping shadow getting longer, keep an eye on ridership levels, I bet they are going to go up as well.
Thanks for reading the MT Position updated every Friday,
